Posted by
Exchange Rates on Saturday, November 13, 2010 8:52:33 PM
With the U.S. mid-term elections approaching, some U.S. politicians have put the blame on the U.S. economy in China, the RMB
exchange rate against the U.S. dollar as their main objective of the attack. However, people
familiar with are well aware of the world economy, forcing the rapid
RMB appreciation for the United States and China significantly, and
even detrimental to world economic recovery.
Well-known investor Jim Rogers told the China Securities newspaper interview about the RMB exchange rate
issue, said: "A lot of voices that the yuan should be revalued against
the dollar, I do not know, because the RMB is not a freely convertible currency. RMB
exchange rate is likely to rise, there are likely to decline, when many people
think that it should appreciate the time, there will be a lot of influx
of speculative funds to, wait for it to appreciation of the profits. "
Oppenheimer Fund, the United States, Managing Director Li Shanquan that free trade
in the absence of market circumstances, the judge is the appreciation
of the RMB against the U.S. dollar devaluation, or lack of basis.
He said, "the
exchange rate itself is a constantly changing price
signals, and this price only in full and free exchange market
transactions by buyers and sellers can decide, in the absence of market
circumstances, we should talk about the RMBexchange rate appreciation and depreciation are unfounded. "
Has been engaged in international economic research director of the United Nations World Economic Monitoring flood plain agree to let the market determine the exchange rate to the point of view. He pointed out that many factors affect the
exchange rate, trade
is only one aspect, purchasing power is another point of view, but no
matter what kind of models and theories can not fully predict the real
market price.
Some Western media for the data cited so-called economists that the
yuan should appreciate against the dollar 40% of the claim, Hong
ordinary, said: "About 10 years ago, some economists according to
statistical models, 1990 to 2000, the RMB against the U.S. dollarexchange rate
were analyzed, and concluded that the yuan is undervalued by 40%. First
of all the conclusion is a conclusion out of date, from 2000 to 2010,
the 10-year economic situation has undergone great changes. Second,
starting in 2005 , the appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar
by more than 25%. "
Flood plain, said fluctuations in currency exchange rates, both for
China and the United States did not do any good, the Chinese
government's practice of adjusting the exchange rate steady realistic.
In fact, U.S. officials and members worth mentioning, some economists
advocate Ye Hao yuan appreciation, no one on the way out of economic
evidence that a reasonable rate of appreciation of the renminbi.
In this regard, the Nobel laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz said that
exchange rate
adjustment should follow the changes in world economic situation. He
said that when the world economy needs to adjust the price adjustments,
includingexchange rate adjustment, but the exchange rate adjustment
necessary to seize the opportunity. When the world economy into crisis,
to maintain
exchange rate
stability is very important. When the world economic recovery, the
appropriate exchange rate adjustment it appears necessary. But he was
opposed to the exchange rate
market volatility, which it does not benefit the economic recovery.
"Appreciation of the renminbi is not possible to solve the problem of
global imbalances," he said, the United States as an example: "exchange
rate adjustment does not change the trade deficit situation. U.S.
multilateral trade
deficit will continue. If the yuan appreciation, or the United States
may be from Bangladesh Sri Lanka imports of textiles, but is no longer
possible to produce their own textiles. "
Stiglitz also criticized the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank
released into the market too much liquidity. He said; "Ironically, the
Fed injected liquidity to the market is designed to promote U.S.
economic recovery, but in reality this will not help the world economy
U.S. economy into chaos."
"RMB
exchange rate has been included in the United States
Government and members of the main reasons for the attack target is
mid-term elections." Chen Zhiwu, finance professor at Yale University,
said: "In the United States is the biggest unemployment rate, economic
issues, but some economic common sense let the yuan appreciate that the
Americans are not likely to solve the employment problem, the politicians take the
exchange rate as a shield only show that they do not a good way to solve economic problems. "